Cabo Weather in October 2026: What to Expect

Short answer: October in Los Cabos averages a high of 33.4 °C (92.1 °F) and a low of 21.2 °C (70.2 °F) in Cabo San Lucas, with 1.4 days of rain, per Mexico's SMN 1991-2020 normals. October is still inside the eastern Pacific hurricane season, which the National Hurricane Center says runs to November 30, so plan water days with a little flexibility.

These are official long-term averages, not a forecast for October 2026. For this week's official advisories, see our live Cabo weather and hurricane update.

We are not meteorologists. For forecasts, follow the National Hurricane Center and Mexico's SMN.

October averages at a glance

Sea temperature, October average: 28.6 °C (83.5 °F), NOAA OISST 1991-2020 long-term mean for the 1° ocean grid cell that contains Cabo San Lucas.

In plain words: warm days, warm nights and warm water. On average, it rains on fewer than two days in October at either station. An average can hide a wet year, though, so we always pair it with the live advisories.

October and hurricane season

The National Hurricane Center says "The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30." It also notes that activity in the basin is spread out, "with most tropical cyclones occurring between late June and early October." So early October is still part of that busier stretch for the basin as a whole, which stretches far out into the Pacific.

NHC publishes maps of where named storms and hurricanes have typically occurred in October. Our hurricane season guide explains how watches, warnings and Mexico's alert colors work.

From living here: October is one of our favorite months. The water is warm, and when the official advisories are quiet, the ocean days are beautiful.

What it means for your trip

• Average daily temperature. October's average daily mean is 27.3 °C (81.1 °F) in Cabo San Lucas, so plan shade and water for midday outings.
• Boats and fishing. The port captain decides when small boats can go out. Our policy: "If we or the captain cancel for weather or safety reasons, you receive a full refund or a free reschedule, no matter the timing." Browse yacht charters and fishing trips.
• Beaches. Follow the flags and lifeguards. Storms far offshore can still send big surf.
• Packing. Light clothes, sun protection, and a light rain layer just in case.
• Planning. Put your boat day early in the trip, so there's room to move it.

What we handle for you

✓ When we or the captain cancel a boat day for weather or safety, you get a full refund or a free reschedule, and we help you move your transfer if your flight changes.

Want the full year?

See Cabo in October for things to do this month, and our complete Cabo weather guide for every month. Questions? Message our concierge on WhatsApp (+52 624 244 6303).

Where these numbers come from

• SMN normals, Cabo San Lucas station 3005 and San José del Cabo station 3056, Normal Climatológica 1991-2020, issued 25/09/2026.
• NOAA OISST v2 long-term monthly mean sea surface temperature, 1991-2020.
• National Hurricane Center climatology for the eastern Pacific season.

Frequently asked questions

How hot is Cabo in October?

Mexico's SMN 1991-2020 normals give Cabo San Lucas an average October high of 33.4 °C (92.1 °F) and an average low of 21.2 °C (70.2 °F). San José del Cabo averages 33.8 °C (92.8 °F) and 20.0 °C (68.0 °F).

Does it rain much in Cabo in October?

On average, Cabo San Lucas gets 25.3 mm of rain over 1.4 days in October, and San José del Cabo 27.1 mm over 1.6 days, per SMN normals. These are averages, not a forecast.

Is October still hurricane season in Cabo?

Yes. The National Hurricane Center says the eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30. Check the live NHC advisories before and during your trip.

How warm is the ocean in Cabo in October?

NOAA's 1991-2020 average sea surface temperature for the ocean grid cell containing Cabo San Lucas is 28.6 °C (83.5 °F) in October.

What happens to my boat trip if the weather turns?

If we or the captain cancel for weather or safety reasons, you receive a full refund or a free reschedule, no matter the timing.